Hugo G Hidalgo

Hugo G. Hidalgo, PhD.

Assistant Project Scientist

Division of Climate, Atmospheric Sciences, and Physical Oceanography.

Scripps Institution of Oceanography

9500 Gilman Drive, MC 0224

La Jolla, California 92093-0224

hhidalgo@ucsd.edu, 858-822-4959

Interests:

Surface Water Hydrology, Land Surface Processes, Climate Variability and Climate Change, Paleoclimate.

Publications (updated February 2008):

Barnett, T., D.W. Pierce, H. Hidalgo, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer, T. Das, G. Bala, A.W. Wood, T. Nazawa, A. Mirin, D. Cayan, M. Dettinger, 2008, Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States, Science (In press).

Maurer, E. P. and Hidalgo, H. G.: Utility of daily vs. monthly large-scale climate data: an intercomparison of two statistical downscaling methods, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 4, 3413-3440, 2007.

Timilsena J., T.C. Piechota, H.G. Hidalgo and G. Tootle. Five Hundred Years of Hydrological Drought in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Journal of the American Water Resources Association. Accepted.

McCabe G.J., J.L. Betancourt, S.T. Gray, M.A. Palecki and H.G. Hidalgo. Associations of multi-decadal sea-surface temperature variability with US drought. Quaternary International. Accepted

MacDonald G.M., Kremenetski K.V. and H.G. Hidalgo. Southern California and the Perfect Drought: Simultaneous Prolonged Drought Occurrence in Southern California and the Sacramento and Colorado River Systems Over the Past 100 years and During the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Quaternary International. Accepted.

MacDonald G.M., Kremenetski K.V. and H.G. Hidalgo. Recent Eurasian river discharge to the Artic Ocean and the context of longer-term dendrohydrological records. Journal of Geophysical Research. Accepted

McCabe G.J., J.L. Betancourt and H.G. Hidalgo. Associations of Decadal to Multidecadal Sea Surface Temperature Variability with Upper Colorado River Flow. Journal of the American Water Resources Association. 43(1): 183-192.

Westerling A.L., H. G. Hidalgo, D. R. Cayan, and T. W. Swetnam. 2006. Warming and Earlier Spring Increase Western U.S. Forest Wildfire Activity. Science. 313: 940-943

MacDonald G.M., Rian S. and Hidalgo H.G. 2006. Southern California and the perfect drought. In Colorado River Basin Climate, Paleo, Present and Future. Lester A. Snow ed. 66pp. 50-57.

Hidalgo H.G., Cayan D.R., Dettinger M.D. 2005. Sources of Variability of evapotranspiration in California. Journal of Hydrometeorology. 6:3-19

Hidalgo, H. G. 2004. Climate precursors of multidecadal drought variability in the western United States. Water Resour. Res., Vol. 40, No. 12, W12504 10.1029/2004WR003350

Piechota, TC., Timilsena J, Tootle G and Hidalgo HG. (2004). The western US drought, how bad is it?. EOS transactions. American Geophysical Union. 85, 301-308.

N.W.T. Quinn, L.D. Brekke, N.L. Miller, T. Heinzer, H. Hidalgo, J.A. Dracup. 2004. Model integration for assessing future hydroclimate impacts on water resources, agricultural production and environmental quality in the San Joaquin Basin, California. Environmental Modelling & Software 19 305–316.

Hidalgo H.G.; Dracup J.A., 2003: ENSO and PDO effects on hydroclimatic variations of the Upper Colorado River Basin, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 4, 5-23.

Hidalgo H.G., Dracup J.A., MacDonald G.M., King J.K., 2001: Comparison of tree species sensitivity to high and low extreme hydroclimatic events. Physical Geography, 21, 115-134.

Hidalgo H. G., Piechota T C., Dracup J. A., 2000: Alternative Principal Components Regression Procedures for Dendrohydrologic Reconstructions. Water Resources Research, 36, 3241-3249.

Book Chapters

Hidalgo H.G., L.D. Brekke, N.L. Miller, N.W.T. Quinn, J. Keyantash and J.A. Dracup. 2006. Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Water Allocation, Water Quality and Salmon Production in the San Joaquin River Basin. In: "Climate Change and Variability: Consequences and Responses" Matthias Ruth, Kieran Donaghy, and Paul Kirshen eds. Summary of publications from EPA STAR Grant recipients. In press.

Hidalgo H.G. and J.A. Dracup, 2004. Evidence of the signature of North Pacific Multidecadal Processes on Precipitation and Streamflow Variations in the Upper Colorado River Basin. In The Colorado Plateau: Cultural, Biological, and Physical Research. C. van Riper III and K. L. Cole, Eds. Based on research presented at the Sixth Biennial Conference of Research on the Colorado Plateau, 2001. The University of Arizona Press. Arizona. 257-265.

Proceedings

Hidalgo H.G. 2003. Low-frequency climatic variations in the 20th Century in the Upper Colorado River Basin: Teleconnections with the North Pacific?: Proceedings of the 19th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, California Department of Water Resources. Interagency Ecological Study Program Technical report.

Hidalgo H.G.; Dracup J.A. 2002. Southern Hemisphere Teleconnection Patterns and Their Relation to Australian Hydroclimatic Variation: Potential Precipitation and Streamflow Long-Range Forecasting. Proceedings of the 27th Hydrology and Water Resources Conference. Melbourne, Australia.

Piechota, T.C., H. Hidalgo, and J. Dracup. Streamflow Variability and Reconstruction for the Colorado River Basin. Proceedings of the EWRI World Water & Environmental Resources Congress, May 20-24, 2001, Orlando, Florida, American Society of Civil Engineers, Washington D.C. 2001

Hidalgo H., Dracup J., Piechota T. Alternative PCA-Based regression techniques in dendroclimatic reconstructions, 1999: Proceedings of the 16th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, California Department of Water Resources. Interagency Ecological Study Program Technical report.

Hidalgo H., King, J, Dracup J., Mac Donald G. Comparison of tree species sensitivity in streamflow reconstructions in the Colorado River Basin, 1999: Proceedings of the 16th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, May California Department of Water Resources. Interagency Ecological Study Program Technical report.

Hidalgo H., Dracup J., Mac Donald G., Piechota T., 1998: The 1572-1593 severe sustained drought in the Colorado River Basin: a reexamination. Proceedings of the 15th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, California Department of Water Resources. Interagency Ecological Study Program Technical report.

Hidalgo H., Baltodano J. Definición de Niveles de Inundación en el Río Reventado, 1992: Memoria del IV Congreso Nacional de Recursos Hídricos y del Ambiente. San José, Costa Rica.

Abstracts

Hidalgo HG., Cayan DR. and Dettinger MD. 2004. Low frequency drought variability in the western US: paleoclimatic indicators and GCM projections. Arthur M. Sackler Colloquium on The Role of Science in Solving the World's Emerging Water Problems. Irvine California, National Academy of Sciences. October 2004.

Hidalgo HG., Cayan DR. and Dettinger MD. 2004. Sources of variability of California's agricultural water demands. Third Biennial CALFED BAy-Delta Program Science Conference, Sacramento, California, October 2004.

Hidalgo H.G. 2004. Climate Precursors of Severe and Sustained Droughts in the Western U.S. Presented at the workshop: “Tree Rings and Climate: Sharpening the Focus”, April 6-9, 2004. Tucson, Arizona and at the 21th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, May 2004. California Department of Water Resources. Interagency Ecological Study Program Technical report.

Hidalgo H.G. and Dracup J. A., A new tendency towards low frequency climatic variations in the 20th century in the Upper Colorado River Basin: teleconnections with the North Pacific?. Proceedings of the 20th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, May 2003. California Department of Water Resources. Interagency Ecological Study Program Technical report.

Hidalgo H.G., Cayan D.R. and Dettinger M.D. 2003. Sources of variability of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) in California Proceedings of NOAA’s 28th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop. Reno, Nevada. 20-23 October 2003.

Hidalgo H.G., Cayan D.R. and Dettinger M.D. 2003. Sources of variability of daily evapotranspiration (ETo) in California EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2003 Fall meeting. December, 2003.

Hidalgo H.G. and Dracup J.A. Southern Hemisphere’s Geopotential Height Teleconnections and Their Potential for Seasonal Streamflow and Precipitation Forecasting Models in Australia and South America . EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2002 Fall meeting. December, 2002.

Huckelbridge K. H., Hidalgo H.G., Dracup J.A and Ibarra-Obando S.E.. Modeling the Cienega de Santa Clara, Sonora, Mexico. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2002 Fall meeting. December, 2002.

Kayantash, J., Quinn, N.W., Hidalgo H.G. and Dracup J.A.. Modeling Fall Run Chinook Salmon Populations in the San Joaquin River Basin Using an Artificial Neural Network. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2002 Fall meeting. December, 2002.

Hidalgo H.G., Brekke L.D., Quinn N.W.T., Dracup J.A. and Miller N.L. 2002. Simulation of Potential Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources, Water Quality, Agricultural Production and the Rural Economy of the San Joaquin River Basin. Second Federal Interagency Hydrologic Modeling Conference, Las Vegas, NV, July-August 2002

Hidalgo H. G. and Dracup J. A. An artificial Neural Network Model for Vegetation Distribution in California. Berkeley Atmospheric Sciences Symposium. November, 2002

Hidalgo H.G., Dracup J. A., Regional Effects of ENSO and the PDO in the Upper Colorado River Basin, 2001: Proceedings of the 18th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, California Department of Water Resources. Interagency Ecological Study Program Technical report.

Hidalgo H. G. and Dracup J. A. Atmospheric Circulation Patterns in the Southern Hemisphere obtained from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Berkeley Atmospheric Sciences Symposium. November, 2001.

Hidalgo, H.G., L.D. Brekke, J.A. Dracup, N.L. Miller, and N.W.T. Quinn. 2001. Effects of Climate Change on Water Storage and Streamflow in the San Joaquin River Basin. Bay Delta Modeling Forum Workshop, Sacramento, CA, October 2001.

Hidalgo H.G.; Dracup J.A. Changes in Teleconnection Patterns Between the Upper Colorado River Basin Hydrology and Pacific Basin’s Climatic Processes EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2000 Fall meeting. December, 2000. In press.

Hidalgo H.G., Dracup J.A. Regional Effects on the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Upper Colorado River Basin Hydroclimate. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 1999 Fall meeting. December, 1999.

King J.K.,Hidalgo H.G., Dracup J.A., MacDonald G.M. Identification of Hydrologically Sensitive Tree Species in the Upper Colorado River Basin. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Fall meeting. December, 1999.

Hidalgo-Leon H.G., King J.A., Dracup J.A. MacDonald G.M. Species Suitability in Dendrohydrological Reconstructions in the Colorado River Basin. Ninth National Conference, Society of Environmental Journalists. September, 1999.

Hidalgo H., Piechota T., Dracup J. Tree ring reconstruction procedures using cross validation techniques. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 1998 Fall meeting. December, 1998.

Hidalgo HG., Cayan DR. and Dettinger MD. 2004. Sources of variability of California's agricultural water demands. Third Biennial CALFED Bay-Delta Program Science Conference, Sacramento, California, October 2004.

Cayan D, Hidalgo H, Dettinger M and Tyree M (2004). Water in the next century uncertainties as climate changes in California. Aspen Colorado March 3rd, 2004. (invited)

Hidalgo H.G. (2004). Sources of variability of Multidecadal Drought Variability in the western US. Presented September 24th at University of Southern California Earth Sciences Seminar. (invited)

Timilsena J., Piechota T. Hidalgo H and Tootle G 2004. Hydrologic drought in the Colorado River. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. 2004 Fall Meeting. San Francisco, California.

Hidalgo H.G and Cayan D.R. 2004. Low frequency drought variability in the Western US from paleoclimatic indicators and GCM projections. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. 2004 Fall Meeting. San Francisco, California.

Hidalgo H.G., Cayan D.R. and Dettinger M.D. 2005. Variability of Penman-based evapotranspiration estimates in California. 19th Conference on Hydrology. 85th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting. San Diego, California.

Mc Cabe G.J., J.L. Betancourt, S.T. Gray, M.A. Palecky and H.G. Hidalgo. 2006. Associations of Multi-Decadal Sea-Surface Temperature Variability with US Drought. Proceedings of the 23th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, May 2006. California Department of Water Resources. Interagency Ecological Study Program Technical report (INVITED).

Mc Cabe G.J., J.L. Betancourt, S.T. Gray, M.A. Palecky and H.G. Hidalgo. 2006. Associations of Multi-Decadal Sea-Surface Temperature Variability with US Drought. Hydrologic Sciences and Water Resources Engineering Seminar. University of Colorado Boulder. Colorado. April 2006 (INVITED).

Westerling A.L., Hidalgo H.G., Cayan D.R. and Swetnam T.W. 2006. Explaining spatial variability in forest wildfire regime response to warming temperatures and an earlier spring snowmelt. Mtnclim conference. Mt. Hood, Oregon. September 2006

Hidalgo H.G., Cayan D.R. and Dettinger M.D. 2006. Drought Variability Contrasts Between Montane and Arid Parts of the Western United States. Proceedings of the 23th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, May 2006. California Department of Water Resources. Interagency Ecological Study Program Technical report.

Hidalgo H.G., Cayan D.R. and Dettinger M.D. 2006. Sources of Evapotranspiration Variability and Aridity in the Western US. WERA-102 annual meeting. Reno, Nevada, September 2006. (INVITED).

Hidalgo, H.G., D.R. Cayan, Michael D. Dettinger. 2006. Drought: How the western US is tranformed from energy-limited to water-limited landscapes. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. 2006 Fall Meeting. San Francisco, California.

Maurer E. and H.G. Hidalgo. 2007. Utility of daily vs. Monthly large-scale climate data: an intercomparison of two statistical downscaling methods. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. 2007 Fall Meeting. San Francisco, California.

Hidalgo, H.G., T.Das, D.R.Cayan, D.W. Pierce, T.P Barnett, G.Bala, A.Mirin, A.W. Wood, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer. 2007. Detection and attribution of climate change in JFM streamflow fractions in the Western United States. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. 2007 Fall Meeting. San Francisco, California.

Bonfils C., B.D. Santer, D.W. Pierce, G. Bala, T.P Barnett, H.G. Hidalgo, A.W. Wood, M. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan, A. Mirin, T. Das 2007. Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. 2007 Fall Meeting. San Francisco, California.

Das T., H.G. Hidalgo, M.D. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan, D.W. Pierce, G. Bala. Structure and origins of trends in Hydrologic Measures over the Western U.S. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. 2007 Fall Meeting. San Francisco, California.

Pierce D.W., T.P. Barnett, H.G. Hidalgo, T. Das, C. Bonfils, G. Bala, A. Mirin, B. Santer, D. Cayan and M. Dettinger. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. 2007 Fall Meeting. San Francisco, California

Hidalgo, H.G., T.Das, D.R.Cayan, D.W. Pierce, T.P Barnett, G.Bala, A.Mirin, A.W. Wood, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer. 2007. Detection and attribution of climate change in streamflow variability. Fourth Southwest Hydrometeorology Symposium. September 2007, Tucson, Arizona.